Home / NBA Projections NBA / Trail Blazers @ Knicks POR @ NY

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

23-25  |  Road

97
FINAL
Fri, Jan 30 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

29-18  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
245.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Trail BlazersPOR (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trail Blazers Cover

46.0%

Knicks Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

POR By 1-7 points

24.3%

POR By 8-14 points

13.7%

NY By 1-7 points

26.2%

NY By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
122
PORTLAND
123
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
108
PORTLAND
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+8) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o224.5 Loss
Proj Total: 245.0
D
Sim u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 30, 2026 POR @ NY 97 - 127
Jan 11, 2026 NY @ POR 123 - 114
Mar 30, 2025 POR @ NY 93 - 110
Mar 12, 2025 NY @ POR 114 - 113
Mar 14, 2024 NY @ POR 105 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.6% more
New York: 27.4 vs Portland: 20.2
Free Throw % (L5) +8.4%
New York: 76.8% vs Portland: 68.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
New York: 37.7% vs Portland: 32.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
New York: 47.6% vs Portland: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
POR Score 122.0 97
NY Score 123.0 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 32.3 42.0 / 30.0
Assists 27.4 / 20.2 29.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.2 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 42.4 48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 76.8 / 68.4 86.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 48.6 / 53.6 52.0 / 37.0
Steals 10.0 / 9.5 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 16.4 / 17.9 14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
POR
NY
POR
ML
61% 114-72
53% 56-49
56% 57-45
55% 49-40
ATS
67% 124-62
62% 65-39-1
56% 57-45
55% 49-40
TTL
72% 133-53
56% 58-46-1
100% 102-0
100% 89-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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