TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
29-20 | Road
120
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
24-22 | Home
130
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
MAGIC
0%
RAPTORS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
TOR By 1-7 points
6.8%
TOR By 8-14 points
1.7%
ORL By 1-7 points
18.6%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
101
TORONTO
Orlando
114
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Toronto
103
TORONTO
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u221.0
Loss
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim
u221.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
ORL @ TOR
87 - 139
Jan 30, 2026
TOR @ ORL
120 - 130
Dec 29, 2025
ORL @ TOR
106 - 107
Mar 4, 2025
TOR @ ORL
114 - 113
Mar 2, 2025
TOR @ ORL
104 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+10.6% more
Orlando: 9.6
vs
Toronto: 8.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Orlando: 34.7%
vs
Toronto: 32.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+23.5% more
Toronto: 15.3
vs
Orlando: 11.7
Blocks (L5)
+19.5% more
Toronto: 6.5
vs
Orlando: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
101.0
120
ORL Score
114.0
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 32.8
50.0 / 25.0
Assists
27.8 / 26.7
28.0 / 33.0
Blocks
5.2 / 6.5
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 44.4
51.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 78.3
89.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 45.1
35.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.6 / 8.7
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 15.3
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
TOR
ORL
TOR
ML
61%
65-42
55%
57-47
56%
51-40
55%
48-39
ATS
64%
68-38-1
61%
62-40-2
56%
51-40
55%
48-39
TTL
57%
61-46
60%
62-42
100%
91-0
100%
87-0
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