AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
RAMS
0%
RAMBLERS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
197.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
LUC By 1-7 points
0.0%
LUC By 8-14 points
0.0%
VCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
VCU By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Chicago
77
LOYOLA CHICAGO
VCU
120
VCU
Simulated Score
Loyola Chicago
67
LOYOLA CHICAGO
VCU
71
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (-18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 197.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
LUC @ VCU
75 - 89
Mar 15, 2025
LUC @ VCU
55 - 62
Jan 4, 2025
VCU @ LUC
84 - 65
Jan 23, 2024
LUC @ VCU
67 - 74
Jan 10, 2023
VCU @ LUC
78 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+46.9% more
VCU: 6.3
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.3
Blocks (L5)
+38.0% more
VCU: 3.7
vs
Loyola Chicago: 2.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
VCU: 46.8%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 38.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
VCU: 35.5%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 27.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LUC Score
77.0
75
VCU Score
120.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 27.7
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
11.8 / 14.7
17.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.7
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 38.9
46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 68.9
83.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 34.8
32.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.3 / 4.3
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 12.7
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
VCU
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
LUC
VCU
LUC
ML
72%
26-10
55%
18-15
67%
22-11
50%
16-16
ATS
81%
29-7
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
50%
16-16
TTL
58%
21-15
76%
25-8
100%
33-0
100%
32-0