PENNSYLVANIA
QUAKERSPENN
9-9 | Road
67
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
13-6 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
QUAKERS
100%
LIONS
0%
QUAKERS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
PENN By 1-7 points
0.0%
PENN By 8-14 points
0.0%
COLU By 1-7 points
0.5%
COLU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Pennsylvania
57
PENNSYLVANIA
Columbia
90
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
Pennsylvania
72
PENNSYLVANIA
Columbia
81
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
COLU @ PENN
67 - 76
Jan 30, 2026
PENN @ COLU
67 - 72
Mar 1, 2025
PENN @ COLU
92 - 87
Jan 25, 2025
COLU @ PENN
78 - 93
Mar 2, 2024
COLU @ PENN
72 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.0% more
Columbia: 14.6
vs
Pennsylvania: 11.6
Turnovers (L5)
+16.6% more
Columbia: 11.7
vs
Pennsylvania: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+13.5% more
Columbia: 37.5
vs
Pennsylvania: 33.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Columbia: 73.6%
vs
Pennsylvania: 68.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PENN Score
57.0
67
COLU Score
90.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 34.8
47.0 / 47.0
Assists
14.6 / 11.6
22.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 41.8
54.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 68.2
67.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 33.1
39.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.3
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 10.0
18.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PENN
--
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PENN
--
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PENN
--
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
PENN
COLU
PENN
ML
44%
12-15
53%
16-14
56%
15-12
76%
22-7
ATS
59%
16-11
63%
19-11
56%
15-12
76%
22-7
TTL
74%
20-7
70%
21-9
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
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