DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
9-9 | Road
68
YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
15-3 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BIG GREEN
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Yale)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YALE -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)
DART By 1-7 points
0.2%
DART By 8-14 points
0.0%
YALE By 1-7 points
1.7%
YALE By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
67
DARTMOUTH
Yale
95
YALE
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
65
DARTMOUTH
Yale
78
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o155.0
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u155.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
YALE @ DART
83 - 70
Jan 30, 2026
DART @ YALE
68 - 83
Feb 28, 2025
YALE @ DART
72 - 67
Jan 20, 2025
DART @ YALE
67 - 83
Mar 1, 2024
DART @ YALE
56 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.3% more
Yale: 16.4
vs
Dartmouth: 13.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.2%
Yale: 78.9%
vs
Dartmouth: 70.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Yale: 48.4%
vs
Dartmouth: 42.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Yale: 41.1%
vs
Dartmouth: 39.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
67.0
68
YALE Score
95.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.1 / 39.2
50.0 / 34.0
Assists
16.4 / 13.8
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 4.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 42.9
55.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 70.7
100.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 36.9
31.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.3 / 4.4
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 9.6
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
Advantage
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
DART
YALE
DART
ML
48%
15-16
62%
16-10
58%
18-13
50%
13-13
ATS
65%
20-11
65%
17-9
58%
18-13
50%
13-13
TTL
61%
19-12
88%
23-3
100%
31-0
100%
26-0
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