Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Bobcats SHU @ QUIN

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

9-13  |  Road

98
FINAL
Fri, Jan 30 • 7:00 PM ET
M&T Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

QUINNIPIAC

BOBCATSQUIN

14-8  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
📊
BOBCATS
0%
PIONEERS --
BOBCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Quinnipiac)
PioneersSHU (-3.5) 0 BobcatsQUIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

34.5%

Bobcats Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)

SHU By 1-7 points

20.1%

SHU By 8-14 points

9.3%

QUIN By 1-7 points

27.4%

QUIN By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
82
SACRED HEART
86
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
69
SACRED HEART
75
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bobcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bobcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bobcats (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Bobcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 30, 2026 SHU @ QUIN 98 - 91
Jan 11, 2026 QUIN @ SHU 70 - 60
Feb 14, 2025 QUIN @ SHU 99 - 90
Dec 8, 2024 SHU @ QUIN 73 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +45.6% more
Quinnipiac: 7.6 vs Sacred Heart: 5.2
Blocks (L5) +37.4% more
Quinnipiac: 3.2 vs Sacred Heart: 2.3
Assists (L5) +26.3% more
Sacred Heart: 17.6 vs Quinnipiac: 13.0
Turnovers (L5) +10.4% more
Sacred Heart: 10.2 vs Quinnipiac: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHU Score 82.0 98
QUIN Score 86.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 40.8 30.0 / 42.0
Assists 13.0 / 17.6 20.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.3 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.8 / 46.1 46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 69.0 71.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 32.2 38.0 / 32.0
Steals 7.6 / 5.2 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 10.2 9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
QUIN Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
QUIN
13-17-1 (43.3%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
SHU
QUIN
SHU
ML
66% 21-11
61% 20-13
53% 17-15
73% 24-9
ATS
59% 19-13
76% 25-8
53% 17-15
73% 24-9
TTL
62% 20-12
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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