GEORGIA SOUTHERN
EAGLESGASO
13-9 | Road
79
UL MONROE
WARHAWKSULM
3-18 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
WARHAWKS
0%
EAGLES
--
WARHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
194.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UL MONROE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (UL Monroe)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ULM -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ULM)
GASO By 1-7 points
10.7%
GASO By 8-14 points
3.3%
ULM By 1-7 points
23.0%
ULM By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Southern
92
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
UL Monroe
102
UL MONROE
Simulated Score
Georgia Southern
68
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
UL Monroe
72
UL MONROE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Warhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Warhawks (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Warhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 194.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
GASO @ ULM
79 - 76
Jan 2, 2025
ULM @ GASO
82 - 90
Jan 6, 2024
GASO @ ULM
76 - 68
Mar 2, 2023
ULM @ GASO
57 - 66
Jan 19, 2023
ULM @ GASO
72 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+36.0% more
UL Monroe: 12.3
vs
Georgia Southern: 9.1
Blocks (L5)
+10.1% more
UL Monroe: 4.0
vs
Georgia Southern: 3.7
Steals (L5)
+22.1% more
Georgia Southern: 8.4
vs
UL Monroe: 6.5
Assists (L5)
+19.2% more
Georgia Southern: 10.3
vs
UL Monroe: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GASO Score
92.0
79
ULM Score
102.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.6 / 29.0
30.0 / 22.0
Assists
8.3 / 10.3
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.7
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
31.7 / 42.1
44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 69.7
81.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 33.9
34.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.4
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 9.1
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
ULM
4-28-0
(12.5%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
ULM
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6%
Total +/-: +2.6
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ULM
GASO
ULM
GASO
ML
50%
16-16
56%
20-16
70%
21-9
58%
19-14
ATS
78%
25-7
64%
23-13
70%
21-9
58%
19-14
TTL
59%
19-13
61%
22-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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