NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
14-8 | Road
77
DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
8-12 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
NORSE
100%
TITANS
0%
NORSE
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
NKU By 1-7 points
0.4%
NKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
DETM By 1-7 points
2.7%
DETM By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Kentucky
78
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Detroit Mercy
104
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
Northern Kentucky
72
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Detroit Mercy
65
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Norse
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Norse (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o161.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
NKU @ DETM
77 - 90
Jan 15, 2026
DETM @ NKU
71 - 96
Mar 4, 2025
DETM @ NKU
75 - 99
Jan 30, 2025
NKU @ DETM
57 - 68
Dec 18, 2024
DETM @ NKU
60 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Detroit Mercy: 15.6
vs
Northern Kentucky: 13.6
Rebounding (L5)
+13.8% more
Detroit Mercy: 37.4
vs
Northern Kentucky: 32.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Detroit Mercy: 81.0%
vs
Northern Kentucky: 73.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
Detroit Mercy: 37.2%
vs
Northern Kentucky: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NKU Score
78.0
77
DETM Score
104.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 30.1
60.0 / 27.0
Assists
15.6 / 13.6
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.9
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 49.6
56.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
81.0 / 73.1
64.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 32.9
41.0 / 32.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.5
3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 11.7
15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NKU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
DETM
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NKU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
NKU
DETM
NKU
ML
58%
18-13
53%
18-16
50%
15-15
65%
22-12
ATS
61%
19-12
56%
19-15
50%
15-15
65%
22-12
TTL
61%
19-12
68%
23-11
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
