SIENA
SAINTSSIE
14-7 | Road
82
NIAGARA
PURPLE EAGLESNIA
5-15 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
100%
PURPLE EAGLES
0%
SAINTS
--
PURPLE EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
NIAGARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Niagara)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NIA -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIA)
SIE By 1-7 points
0.1%
SIE By 8-14 points
0.0%
NIA By 1-7 points
1.1%
NIA By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Siena
60
SIENA
Niagara
90
NIAGARA
Simulated Score
Siena
68
SIENA
Niagara
72
NIAGARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Purple Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Purple Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Purple Eagles (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Purple Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o128.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u128.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
SIE @ NIA
82 - 79
Dec 5, 2025
NIA @ SIE
54 - 83
Feb 21, 2025
NIA @ SIE
60 - 94
Dec 6, 2024
SIE @ NIA
68 - 69
Mar 12, 2024
SIE @ NIA
65 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+27.8% more
Niagara: 12.1
vs
Siena: 9.5
Steals (L5)
+15.2% more
Niagara: 5.7
vs
Siena: 4.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+25.4%
Siena: 80.7%
vs
Niagara: 55.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Siena: 42.4%
vs
Niagara: 35.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIE Score
60.0
82
NIA Score
90.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 42.4
54.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.8 / 15.3
21.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.9
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 50.8
54.0 / 61.0
Free Throw %
55.3 / 80.7
54.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 34.8
23.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.7 / 4.9
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 9.5
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
NIA
8-22-0
(26.7%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
NIA
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIA
SIE
NIA
SIE
ML
55%
16-13
66%
23-12
72%
21-8
48%
16-17
ATS
69%
20-9
66%
23-12
72%
21-8
48%
16-17
TTL
55%
16-13
54%
19-16
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
Ashton Daniels Erupts for Five Rushing Scores as Florida State C…
Indiana Hoosiers Fans Invade Rutgers Homecoming as Hoosiers Roll…