IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
6-17 | Road
76
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
10-12 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
JAGUARS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Youngstown State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YSU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YSU)
IUIN By 1-7 points
0.0%
IUIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
YSU By 1-7 points
0.1%
YSU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
52
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Youngstown State
90
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
65
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Youngstown State
82
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
IUIN @ YSU
76 - 85
Dec 6, 2025
YSU @ IUIN
78 - 55
Feb 1, 2025
IUIN @ YSU
84 - 79
Jan 1, 2025
YSU @ IUIN
77 - 61
Jan 25, 2024
YSU @ IUIN
78 - 50
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+65.9% more
Youngstown State: 4.2
vs
IU Indianapolis: 2.6
Turnovers (L5)
+19.5% more
Youngstown State: 12.3
vs
IU Indianapolis: 10.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.5% more
Youngstown State: 34.2
vs
IU Indianapolis: 30.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.8%
Youngstown State: 78.1%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 68.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
52.0
76
YSU Score
90.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 37.2
38.0 / 39.0
Assists
12.9 / 20.8
17.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.6
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 47.2
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 68.3
86.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 30.7
33.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.5 / 6.6
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 10.3
17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
YSU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
YSU
Advantage
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
IUIN
YSU
IUIN
ML
57%
17-13
69%
22-10
67%
20-10
78%
25-7
ATS
47%
14-16
66%
21-11
67%
20-10
78%
25-7
TTL
60%
18-12
50%
16-16
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
