Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Flashes @ Zips KENT @ AKR

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

16-5  |  Road

52
FINAL
Fri, Jan 30 • 6:00 PM ET
James A. Rhodes Arena
View Odds Details →

AKRON

ZIPSAKR

17-4  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
📊
ZIPS
100%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
ZIPS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
198.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Kent State)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 ZipsAKR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

97.7%

Zips Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KENT -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

KENT By 1-7 points

8.0%

KENT By 8-14 points

18.6%

AKR By 1-7 points

1.7%

AKR By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
109
KENT STATE
89
AKRON
Simulated Score
69
KENT STATE
73
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Flashes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Zips Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Flashes (-11.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Zips (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o166.5 Loss
Proj Total: 198.0
D
Sim u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 KENT @ AKR 68 - 75
Feb 27, 2026 AKR @ KENT 92 - 70
Jan 30, 2026 KENT @ AKR 52 - 69
Feb 28, 2025 KENT @ AKR 72 - 77
Jan 31, 2025 AKR @ KENT 85 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.6% more
Kent State: 3.6 vs Akron: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +29.1% more
Kent State: 16.6 vs Akron: 11.7
Rebounding (L5) +16.6% more
Kent State: 45.9 vs Akron: 38.3
Steals (L5) +53.8% more
Akron: 6.8 vs Kent State: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 109.0 52
AKR Score 89.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.5 / 32.6 32.0 / 4.0
Assists 18.0 / 14.2 17.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.6 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 42.6 42.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 76.7 67.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 45.9 39.0 / 52.0
Steals 6.8 / 4.4 2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 16.6 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
AKR Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
AKR Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
KENT
AKR
KENT
ML
71% 24-10
53% 18-16
65% 22-12
65% 22-12
ATS
76% 26-8
65% 22-12
65% 22-12
65% 22-12
TTL
59% 20-14
44% 15-19
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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