Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Panthers WRST @ MILW

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

13-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Fri, Jan 30 • 8:00 PM ET
UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

9-13  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
RAIDERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Milwaukee)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 PanthersMILW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

0.3%

Panthers Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MILW -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)

WRST By 1-7 points

0.2%

WRST By 8-14 points

0.0%

MILW By 1-7 points

1.7%

MILW By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
57
WRIGHT STATE
85
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
73
WRIGHT STATE
80
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 30, 2026 WRST @ MILW 76 - 69
Jan 1, 2026 MILW @ WRST 70 - 76
Feb 14, 2025 WRST @ MILW 80 - 88
Jan 22, 2025 MILW @ WRST 95 - 79
Jan 20, 2024 MILW @ WRST 81 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +24.4% more
Milwaukee: 9.1 vs Wright State: 7.3
Turnovers (L5) +10.1% more
Milwaukee: 11.2 vs Wright State: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5) +12.0%
Wright State: 80.1% vs Milwaukee: 68.0%
Assists (L5) +10.5% more
Wright State: 11.9 vs Milwaukee: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 57.0 76
MILW Score 85.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 38.2 20.0 / 27.0
Assists 10.6 / 11.9 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.5 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 50.9 42.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 80.1 50.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 34.8 40.0 / 41.0
Steals 9.1 / 7.3 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.1 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
WRST
MILW
WRST
ML
50% 16-16
37% 13-22
69% 22-10
63% 22-13
ATS
47% 15-17
46% 16-19
69% 22-10
63% 22-13
TTL
59% 19-13
63% 22-13
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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