UMASS LOWELL
RIVER HAWKSUML
8-13 | Road
61
NEW HAMPSHIRE
WILDCATSUNH
7-12 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
RIVER HAWKS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (New Hampshire)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNH -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)
UML By 1-7 points
0.0%
UML By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNH By 1-7 points
0.1%
UNH By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UMass Lowell
61
UMASS LOWELL
New Hampshire
99
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
UMass Lowell
75
UMASS LOWELL
New Hampshire
68
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
River Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
River Hawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
UNH @ UML
56 - 78
Jan 29, 2026
UML @ UNH
61 - 66
Feb 15, 2025
UML @ UNH
79 - 80
Jan 25, 2025
UNH @ UML
80 - 97
Feb 3, 2024
UNH @ UML
89 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+55.6% more
New Hampshire: 14.4
vs
UMass Lowell: 9.2
Steals (L5)
+36.8% more
New Hampshire: 5.3
vs
UMass Lowell: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
New Hampshire: 35.2%
vs
UMass Lowell: 29.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
New Hampshire: 43.1%
vs
UMass Lowell: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UML Score
61.0
61
UNH Score
99.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 29.4
29.0 / 20.0
Assists
14.4 / 9.2
10.0 / 7.0
Blocks
1.9 / 4.3
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 41.0
39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 70.0
71.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 35.5
37.0 / 43.0
Steals
5.3 / 3.9
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 11.3
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
UNH
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
UNH
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
UML
UNH
UML
ML
70%
19-8
70%
23-10
74%
20-7
58%
19-14
ATS
67%
18-9
70%
23-10
74%
20-7
58%
19-14
TTL
59%
16-11
58%
19-14
100%
27-0
100%
33-0
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