CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
10-9 | Road
62
WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
6-12 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
0%
SEAHAWKS
100%
BLUE DEVILS
--
SEAHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Central Connecticut)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCSU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)
CCSU By 1-7 points
26.8%
CCSU By 8-14 points
24.3%
WAG By 1-7 points
16.9%
WAG By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
94
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Wagner
88
WAGNER
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
66
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Wagner
71
WAGNER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seahawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Devils (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Seahawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
WAG @ CCSU
70 - 60
Feb 7, 2026
WAG @ CCSU
67 - 84
Jan 29, 2026
CCSU @ WAG
62 - 55
Mar 1, 2025
CCSU @ WAG
55 - 48
Jan 10, 2025
WAG @ CCSU
62 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+69.3% more
Central Connecticut: 3.7
vs
Wagner: 1.1
Assists (L5)
+16.1% more
Wagner: 12.4
vs
Central Connecticut: 10.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Wagner: 40.1%
vs
Central Connecticut: 38.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
94.0
62
WAG Score
88.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 38.5
22.0 / 29.0
Assists
12.4 / 10.7
9.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.1 / 3.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 46.9
31.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 70.7
68.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 31.6
35.0 / 32.0
Steals
4.8 / 5.0
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.1
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
WAG
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAG
CCSU
WAG
CCSU
ML
63%
19-11
57%
17-13
57%
17-13
57%
17-13
ATS
60%
18-12
63%
19-11
57%
17-13
57%
17-13
TTL
53%
16-14
60%
18-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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