COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
35-7-9 | Road
3
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
29-17-7 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 7.00 | 0.750 | -- |
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 3.01 | 0.897 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.00
GAA
Ldr 3.01
0.750
Save %
Ldr 0.897
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
CANADIENS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
12.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
MTL By 1 goal
2.8%
MTL By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Montreal
1
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
COL @ MTL
3 - 7
Nov 29, 2025
MTL @ COL
2 - 7
Mar 22, 2025
COL @ MTL
5 - 4
Jan 4, 2025
MTL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 26, 2024
MTL @ COL
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.0% more
Colorado: 31.1
vs
Montreal: 27.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+50.1% more
Montreal: 15.9
vs
Colorado: 10.6
Hits (L5)
+33.0% more
Montreal: 22.5
vs
Colorado: 16.9
Takeaways (L5)
+21.7% more
Montreal: 4.8
vs
Colorado: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.0
3
MTL Score
1.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 10.6
21.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
51.1 / 52.5
54.7 / 45.3
Hits
22.5 / 16.9
22.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
22.5 / 2.8
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 31.1
28.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.0
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
COL
MTL
COL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …