NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
29-19-5 | Road
2
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
22-26-6 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.952 | -- |
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 2.04 | 0.905 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.04
0.952 Ldr
Save %
0.905
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
RANGERS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
17.5%
NYI By 2-3 goals
37.2%
NYR By 1 goal
6.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
New York
2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
NYR @ NYI
2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025
NYR @ NYI
0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025
NYI @ NYR
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.5% more
New York: 29.0
vs
New York: 24.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.7%
New York: 57.7%
vs
New York: 52.0%
Hits (L5)
+49.6% more
New York: 28.2
vs
New York: 18.8
Takeaways (L5)
+17.3% more
New York: 5.4
vs
New York: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
4.0
2
NYR Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 13.4
10.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 57.7
62.5 / 37.5
Hits
28.2 / 18.8
31.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
25.9 / 27.4
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.2 / 29.0
21.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 4.6
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
NYI
NYR
NYI
ML
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
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Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List