AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
GREAT DANES
100%
HIGHLANDERS
--
GREAT DANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (NJIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NJIT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
NJIT By 1-7 points
24.3%
NJIT By 8-14 points
26.8%
UALB By 1-7 points
12.2%
UALB By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
101
NJIT
UAlbany
92
UALBANY
Simulated Score
NJIT
70
NJIT
UAlbany
75
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Great Danes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Great Danes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
UALB @ NJIT
81 - 63
Jan 29, 2026
NJIT @ UALB
77 - 68
Mar 1, 2025
UALB @ NJIT
86 - 59
Jan 25, 2025
NJIT @ UALB
62 - 68
Feb 15, 2024
NJIT @ UALB
58 - 83
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
NJIT: 32.3%
vs
UAlbany: 29.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+42.3% more
UAlbany: 12.7
vs
NJIT: 8.9
Assists (L5)
+21.5% more
UAlbany: 11.4
vs
NJIT: 9.4
Blocks (L5)
+11.6% more
UAlbany: 2.9
vs
NJIT: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
101.0
77
UALB Score
92.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 32.3
28.0 / 36.0
Assists
11.4 / 9.4
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.6
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 42.5
40.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 72.2
64.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 35.7
33.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.8 / 5.5
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 8.9
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UALB
NJIT
UALB
NJIT
ML
55%
17-14
78%
25-7
71%
22-9
62%
20-12
ATS
77%
24-7
72%
23-9
72%
23-9
62%
20-12
TTL
61%
19-12
47%
15-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0