Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Runnin' Bulldogs @ Bulldogs GWEB @ UNCA

GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

3-19  |  Road

50
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 6:30 PM ET
Kimmel Arena
View Odds Details →

UNC ASHEVILLE

BULLDOGSUNCA

9-12  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
UNC ASHEVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (UNC Asheville)
Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUNCA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

2.9%

Bulldogs Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCA -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCA)

GWEB By 1-7 points

2.2%

GWEB By 8-14 points

0.4%

UNCA By 1-7 points

9.3%

UNCA By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
68
GARDNER-WEBB
87
UNC ASHEVILLE
Simulated Score
69
GARDNER-WEBB
76
UNC ASHEVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (-18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 UNCA @ GWEB 77 - 71
Jan 29, 2026 GWEB @ UNCA 50 - 69
Feb 6, 2025 GWEB @ UNCA 70 - 78
Jan 22, 2025 UNCA @ GWEB 61 - 53
Mar 9, 2024 GWEB @ UNCA 72 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +111.2% more
UNC Asheville: 3.4 vs Gardner-Webb: 1.6
Assists (L5) +18.6% more
UNC Asheville: 10.4 vs Gardner-Webb: 8.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.6%
UNC Asheville: 40.2% vs Gardner-Webb: 28.5%
Rebounding (L5) +10.8% more
UNC Asheville: 36.0 vs Gardner-Webb: 32.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 68.0 50
UNCA Score 87.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 28.5 42.0 / 27.0
Assists 10.4 / 8.8 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.6 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 41.3 43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 66.8 62.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 36.0 / 32.5 38.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.7 / 6.8 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 15.1 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
UNCA Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
UNCA
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCA
GWEB
UNCA
GWEB
ML
53% 16-14
73% 22-8
63% 19-11
63% 19-11
ATS
57% 17-13
73% 22-8
63% 19-11
63% 19-11
TTL
60% 18-12
53% 16-14
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 12 hours ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
Georgia Bulldogs Set to Clash with Oklahoma Sooners as Heavy Fav…
si 2 weeks, 2 days ago
Georgia Bulldogs Release Availability Report for SEC Opener at A…
headtopics 3 weeks ago
Georgia Loses Starting Defensive Lineman Xzavier McLeod Just Day…
si 1 month, 1 week ago