Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Wildcats UTU @ ACU

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

11-11  |  Road

76
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Moody Coliseum (Abilene)
View Odds Details →

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

10-9  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
📊
WILDCATS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsACU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

38.2%

Wildcats Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ACU +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ACU)

UTU By 1-7 points

27.2%

UTU By 8-14 points

20.1%

ACU By 1-7 points

21.6%

ACU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
59
UTAH TECH
56
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
75
UTAH TECH
69
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Trailblazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trailblazers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Trailblazers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 ACU @ UTU 74 - 80
Feb 26, 2026 ACU @ UTU 81 - 85
Jan 29, 2026 UTU @ ACU 76 - 70
Jan 1, 2026 UTU @ ACU 79 - 64
Feb 22, 2025 UTU @ ACU 72 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +34.9% more
Utah Tech: 4.1 vs Abilene Christian: 2.7
Assists (L5) +34.2% more
Utah Tech: 18.1 vs Abilene Christian: 11.9
Rebounding (L5) +10.4% more
Utah Tech: 34.2 vs Abilene Christian: 30.6
Field Goal % (L5) +8.0%
Utah Tech: 46.8% vs Abilene Christian: 38.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 59.0 76
ACU Score 56.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 35.7 42.0 / 47.0
Assists 11.9 / 18.1 16.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.1 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 38.8 / 46.8 43.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 79.1 53.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 34.2 31.0 / 35.0
Steals 9.0 / 6.5 14.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 8.4 16.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
ACU
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ACU
UTU
ACU
UTU
ML
67% 22-11
68% 23-11
70% 23-10
62% 21-13
ATS
55% 18-15
65% 22-12
70% 23-10
62% 21-13
TTL
58% 19-14
65% 22-12
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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