Home / NBA Projections NBA / Kings @ 76ers SAC @ PHI

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

12-36  |  Road

111
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

25-21  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
KINGS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

46.0%

76ers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

SAC By 1-7 points

24.3%

SAC By 8-14 points

13.7%

PHI By 1-7 points

26.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
121
SACRAMENTO
122
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
110
SACRAMENTO
122
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (+11) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o230.5 Loss
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim u230.5 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 PHI @ SAC 139 - 118
Jan 29, 2026 SAC @ PHI 111 - 113
Jan 29, 2025 SAC @ PHI 104 - 117
Jan 1, 2025 PHI @ SAC 107 - 113
Mar 25, 2024 PHI @ SAC 96 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +50.0% more
Philadelphia: 10.2 vs Sacramento: 6.8
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
Philadelphia: 28.1 vs Sacramento: 24.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Philadelphia: 38.3% vs Sacramento: 31.6%
Turnovers (L5) +23.2% more
Sacramento: 16.3 vs Philadelphia: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 121.0 111
PHI Score 122.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 31.6 32.0 / 38.0
Assists 28.1 / 24.9 25.0 / 21.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.4 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 46.6 54.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 76.3 / 80.2 87.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 41.2 / 41.5 24.0 / 46.0
Steals 10.2 / 6.8 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 16.3 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
SAC
PHI
SAC
ML
63% 69-40
55% 55-45
48% 45-48
61% 50-32
ATS
65% 71-38
54% 52-45-3
48% 45-48
61% 50-32
TTL
55% 60-49
58% 57-42-1
100% 93-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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