Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Grizzlies @ Vikings MONT @ PRST

MONTANA

GRIZZLIESMONT

12-9  |  Road

64
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 10:00 PM ET
Viking Pavilion
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

13-5  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
VIKINGS
0%
GRIZZLIES --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Portland State)
GrizzliesMONT (-3.5) 0 VikingsPRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

21.2%

Vikings Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRST -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)

MONT By 1-7 points

13.7%

MONT By 8-14 points

4.8%

PRST By 1-7 points

25.3%

PRST By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
68
MONTANA
76
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
75
MONTANA
68
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vikings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vikings (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Grizzlies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 MONT @ PRST 75 - 72
Feb 28, 2026 PRST @ MONT 68 - 74
Jan 29, 2026 MONT @ PRST 64 - 60
Mar 1, 2025 MONT @ PRST 76 - 79
Jan 30, 2025 PRST @ MONT 78 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +48.2% more
Portland State: 7.7 vs Montana: 5.2
Blocks (L5) +34.2% more
Portland State: 3.6 vs Montana: 2.7
Rebounding (L5) +11.2% more
Portland State: 34.8 vs Montana: 31.3
Assists (L5) +13.0% more
Montana: 17.2 vs Portland State: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONT Score 68.0 64
PRST Score 76.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 40.2 19.0 / 17.0
Assists 15.0 / 17.2 11.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.6 / 2.7 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 53.2 38.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 85.0 70.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 31.3 30.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.7 / 5.2 10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 12.1 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONT
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.4
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
MONT
PRST
MONT
ML
65% 20-11
39% 13-20
71% 22-9
73% 24-9
ATS
71% 22-9
55% 18-15
71% 22-9
73% 24-9
TTL
47% 14-16-1
59% 19-13-1
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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