Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Jaguars CCU @ USA

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

13-9  |  Road

48
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Mitchell Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH ALABAMA

JAGUARSUSA

14-6  |  Home

53
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
0%
📊
JAGUARS
100%
CHANTICLEERS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 JaguarsUSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

98.9%

Jaguars Cover

1.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)

CCU By 1-7 points

4.8%

CCU By 8-14 points

13.7%

USA By 1-7 points

0.8%

USA By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
75
COASTAL CAROLINA
52
SOUTH ALABAMA
Simulated Score
70
COASTAL CAROLINA
82
SOUTH ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Jaguars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 29, 2026 CCU @ USA 48 - 53
Feb 5, 2025 USA @ CCU 84 - 59
Jan 21, 2023 USA @ CCU 81 - 85
Mar 28, 2022 CCU @ USA 69 - 68
Feb 17, 2022 USA @ CCU 71 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +42.7% more
Coastal Carolina: 12.2 vs South Alabama: 7.0
Blocks (L5) +25.9% more
Coastal Carolina: 2.8 vs South Alabama: 2.1
Free Throw % (L5) +18.4%
Coastal Carolina: 76.8% vs South Alabama: 58.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Coastal Carolina: 41.0% vs South Alabama: 37.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 75.0 48
USA Score 52.0 53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 41.0 28.0 / 23.0
Assists 10.6 / 8.9 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.1 / 2.8 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 47.9 39.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 58.4 / 76.8 60.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 37.6 35.0 / 42.0
Steals 9.4 / 4.2 4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 7.0 / 12.2 4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
USA Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
USA
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
USA
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USA
CCU
USA
CCU
ML
47% 15-17
41% 13-19
57% 17-13
55% 17-14
ATS
53% 17-15
38% 12-20
57% 17-13
55% 17-14
TTL
66% 21-11
75% 24-8
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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