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LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

14-7  |  Road

65
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Swisher Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

8-13  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
DOLPHINS
100%
BISONS --
DOLPHINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
JACKSONVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 DolphinsJAX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

42.1%

Dolphins Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JAX +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JAX)

LIP By 1-7 points

26.8%

LIP By 8-14 points

18.6%

JAX By 1-7 points

23.0%

JAX By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
73
LIPSCOMB
71
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
75
LIPSCOMB
68
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dolphins (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Bisons (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 29, 2026 LIP @ JAX 65 - 70
Jan 1, 2026 JAX @ LIP 57 - 76
Jan 2, 2025 LIP @ JAX 70 - 65
Feb 3, 2024 JAX @ LIP 82 - 84
Feb 18, 2023 JAX @ LIP 59 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.1% more
Lipscomb: 16.9 vs Jacksonville: 11.3
Rebounding (L5) +17.3% more
Lipscomb: 35.9 vs Jacksonville: 29.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Lipscomb: 40.3% vs Jacksonville: 35.4%
Steals (L5) +27.9% more
Jacksonville: 7.6 vs Lipscomb: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 73.0 65
JAX Score 71.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 40.3 33.0 / 30.0
Assists 11.3 / 16.9 9.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.0 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 45.8 49.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 81.6 / 83.0 80.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 29.7 / 35.9 29.0 / 25.0
Steals 7.6 / 6.0 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 10.8 7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
97%MONEY3%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
LIP
JAX
LIP
ML
74% 23-8
71% 22-9
60% 18-12
66% 19-10
ATS
65% 20-11
71% 22-9
61% 19-12
66% 19-10
TTL
65% 20-11
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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