Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vandals @ Bears IDHO @ UNCO

IDAHO

VANDALSIDHO

12-8  |  Road

83
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 9:00 PM ET
Bank of Colorado Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

11-10  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
0%
📊
BEARS
100%
VANDALS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
IDAHO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Idaho)
VandalsIDHO (-3.5) 0 BearsUNCO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vandals Cover

99.4%

Bears Cover

0.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IDHO -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDHO)

IDHO By 1-7 points

3.3%

IDHO By 8-14 points

10.7%

UNCO By 1-7 points

0.5%

UNCO By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
74
IDAHO
49
NORTHERN COLORADO
Simulated Score
70
IDAHO
75
NORTHERN COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vandals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vandals (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 UNCO @ IDHO 76 - 67
Jan 29, 2026 IDHO @ UNCO 83 - 91
Feb 22, 2025 IDHO @ UNCO 74 - 92
Jan 23, 2025 UNCO @ IDHO 76 - 77
Feb 22, 2024 IDHO @ UNCO 62 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +37.2% more
Idaho: 6.0 vs Northern Colorado: 3.8
Blocks (L5) +28.9% more
Idaho: 2.3 vs Northern Colorado: 1.7
Free Throw % (L5) +2.9%
Idaho: 73.2% vs Northern Colorado: 70.3%
Assists (L5) +46.2% more
Northern Colorado: 16.2 vs Idaho: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score 74.0 83
UNCO Score 49.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 32.7 47.0 / 34.0
Assists 16.2 / 11.1 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.7 / 2.3 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 44.3 53.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 73.2 70.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 35.8 39.0 / 35.0
Steals 3.8 / 6.0 2.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 12.0 11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO
21-15-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
UNCO Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
UNCO Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCO
IDHO
UNCO
IDHO
ML
50% 16-16
56% 20-16
66% 21-11
64% 21-12
ATS
53% 17-15
58% 21-15
66% 21-11
64% 21-12
TTL
50% 16-16
69% 25-11
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Riley Minix's Unconventional Path from NAIA to NBA Two-Way Contr…
headtopics 2 weeks ago
Baylor Position-by-Position Preview: Can the Bears Avenge Auburn…
si 1 month ago
Tommy John, Legendary Pitcher and Namesake of Revolutionary Elbo…
westhawaiitoday 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Baylor's Caden Powell Granted Extra Year of Eligibility, Boostin…
si 2 months ago
Missouri State Coach Proposes Radical Plan: Free Academic Credit…
brobible 2 months ago