Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rainbow Warriors @ Anteaters HAW @ UCI

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

15-4  |  Road

76
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 11:00 PM ET
Bren Events Center
View Odds Details →

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

14-7  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
RAINBOW WARRIORS
100%
📊
ANTEATERS
0%
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
ANTEATERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (UC Irvine)
Rainbow WarriorsHAW (-3.5) 0 AnteatersUCI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rainbow Warriors Cover

8.1%

Anteaters Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)

HAW By 1-7 points

5.8%

HAW By 8-14 points

1.4%

UCI By 1-7 points

16.9%

UCI By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
HAWAI'I
68
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
68
HAWAI'I
65
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Anteaters Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Anteaters (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 HAW @ UCI 71 - 64
Jan 29, 2026 HAW @ UCI 76 - 87
Jan 10, 2026 UCI @ HAW 66 - 67
Feb 15, 2025 UCI @ HAW 66 - 49
Jan 25, 2025 HAW @ UCI 55 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.4% more
UC Irvine: 5.1 vs Hawai'i: 3.8
Turnovers (L5) +14.2% more
Hawai'i: 14.3 vs UC Irvine: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Hawai'i: 33.5% vs UC Irvine: 28.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.0%
Hawai'i: 75.4% vs UC Irvine: 70.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAW Score 54.0 76
UCI Score 68.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 33.5 18.0 / 41.0
Assists 12.8 / 13.7 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.8 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 47.0 47.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 70.4 / 75.4 66.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 41.4 / 41.4 52.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.3 / 7.1 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 14.3 16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
12%MONEY88%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
UCI
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
UCI Advantage
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
HAW
UCI
HAW
ML
57% 20-15
61% 20-13
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
ATS
63% 22-13
67% 22-11
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
TTL
57% 20-15
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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