Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Coyotes ORU @ SDAK

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-17  |  Road

69
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Sanford Coyote Sports Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH DAKOTA

COYOTESSDAK

11-11  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
COYOTES
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
COYOTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
SOUTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (South Dakota)
Golden EaglesORU (-3.5) 0 CoyotesSDAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

11.5%

Coyotes Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDAK -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDAK)

ORU By 1-7 points

8.0%

ORU By 8-14 points

2.2%

SDAK By 1-7 points

20.1%

SDAK By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
ORAL ROBERTS
66
SOUTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
78
ORAL ROBERTS
72
SOUTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Coyotes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Coyotes (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 SDAK @ ORU 62 - 67
Jan 29, 2026 ORU @ SDAK 69 - 77
Feb 8, 2025 SDAK @ ORU 75 - 74
Jan 16, 2025 ORU @ SDAK 82 - 92
Mar 8, 2024 SDAK @ ORU 62 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +70.1% more
South Dakota: 6.0 vs Oral Roberts: 3.5
Assists (L5) +18.6% more
South Dakota: 13.0 vs Oral Roberts: 10.9
Free Throw % (L5) +11.1%
South Dakota: 79.4% vs Oral Roberts: 68.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.7%
South Dakota: 37.0% vs Oral Roberts: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORU Score 54.0 69
SDAK Score 66.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 27.3 25.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.0 / 10.9 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.5 / 3.4 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 42.6 42.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 79.4 / 68.3 68.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 29.3 / 31.3 40.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 3.5 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 13.4 5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
SDAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
SDAK Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDAK
ORU
SDAK
ORU
ML
70% 21-9
85% 28-5
63% 19-11
73% 24-9
ATS
70% 21-9
82% 27-6
63% 19-11
73% 24-9
TTL
67% 20-10
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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