HAMPTON
PIRATESHAMP
10-11 | Road
51
DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
10-11 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
DRAGONS
100%
PIRATES
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Hampton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HAMP -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)
HAMP By 1-7 points
0.0%
HAMP By 8-14 points
0.1%
DREX By 1-7 points
0.0%
DREX By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Hampton
95
HAMPTON
Drexel
51
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Hampton
58
HAMPTON
Drexel
72
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pirates
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pirates (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o128.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u128.5
Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
HAMP @ DREX
51 - 58
Feb 27, 2025
HAMP @ DREX
52 - 53
Feb 13, 2025
DREX @ HAMP
58 - 63
Jan 1, 2024
HAMP @ DREX
65 - 99
Feb 18, 2023
DREX @ HAMP
72 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.4%
Hampton: 72.9%
vs
Drexel: 55.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+16.4% more
Drexel: 11.1
vs
Hampton: 9.5
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Drexel: 14.2
vs
Hampton: 12.3
Blocks (L5)
+15.2% more
Drexel: 4.5
vs
Hampton: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score
95.0
51
DREX Score
51.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 33.0
20.0 / 19.0
Assists
14.2 / 12.3
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 43.3
42.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
55.4 / 72.9
73.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 33.9
35.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.1
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 9.5
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
DREX
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
HAMP
DREX
HAMP
ML
58%
19-14
53%
17-15
81%
26-6
75%
24-8
ATS
70%
23-10
50%
16-16
81%
26-6
75%
24-8
TTL
48%
16-17
68%
21-10-1
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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