Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Lumberjacks EWU @ NAU

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

5-15  |  Road

86
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 8:00 PM ET
J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN ARIZONA

LUMBERJACKSNAU

7-14  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
LUMBERJACKS
0%
EAGLES --
LUMBERJACKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Northern Arizona)
EaglesEWU (-3.5) 0 LumberjacksNAU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

21.2%

Lumberjacks Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAU)

EWU By 1-7 points

13.7%

EWU By 8-14 points

4.8%

NAU By 1-7 points

25.3%

NAU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
70
EASTERN WASHINGTON
78
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Simulated Score
77
EASTERN WASHINGTON
68
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lumberjacks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lumberjacks (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Eagles (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 NAU @ EWU 57 - 88
Jan 29, 2026 EWU @ NAU 86 - 92
Mar 8, 2025 EWU @ NAU 53 - 66
Feb 22, 2025 EWU @ NAU 67 - 87
Jan 23, 2025 NAU @ EWU 70 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +17.1% more
Northern Arizona: 14.8 vs Eastern Washington: 12.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.7%
Northern Arizona: 42.1% vs Eastern Washington: 34.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
Northern Arizona: 50.3% vs Eastern Washington: 43.9%
Blocks (L5) +57.7% more
Eastern Washington: 3.5 vs Northern Arizona: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 70.0 86
NAU Score 78.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.1 / 34.5 60.0 / 48.0
Assists 14.8 / 12.6 17.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.5 / 3.5 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 43.9 52.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 81.1 93.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 24.0 / 29.9 25.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.4 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 11.7 5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
NAU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
NAU
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
NAU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAU
EWU
NAU
EWU
ML
62% 20-12
64% 21-12
81% 26-6
69% 22-10
ATS
62% 20-12
64% 21-12
81% 26-6
69% 22-10
TTL
66% 21-11
48% 16-17
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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