WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
14-7 | Road
81
CHATTANOOGA
MOCSUTC
9-12 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
MOCS
100%
TERRIERS
--
MOCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
WOFFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Wofford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WOF -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WOF)
WOF By 1-7 points
26.8%
WOF By 8-14 points
24.3%
UTC By 1-7 points
16.9%
UTC By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
64
WOFFORD
Chattanooga
58
CHATTANOOGA
Simulated Score
Wofford
68
WOFFORD
Chattanooga
72
CHATTANOOGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terriers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mocs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Terriers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Mocs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
WOF @ UTC
81 - 55
Jan 14, 2026
UTC @ WOF
76 - 67
Feb 5, 2025
UTC @ WOF
79 - 70
Jan 15, 2025
WOF @ UTC
81 - 83
Mar 9, 2024
WOF @ UTC
57 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Wofford: 50.2%
vs
Chattanooga: 44.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Wofford: 41.7%
vs
Chattanooga: 39.4%
Blocks (L5)
+11.5% more
Chattanooga: 3.9
vs
Wofford: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Chattanooga: 13.6
vs
Wofford: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
64.0
81
UTC Score
58.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 41.7
21.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.6 / 12.5
11.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.5
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 50.2
34.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 75.6
58.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 33.3
36.0 / 49.0
Steals
3.8 / 4.0
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 9.0
10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
UTC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
UTC
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTC
WOF
UTC
WOF
ML
48%
15-16
39%
12-19
53%
16-14
61%
19-12
ATS
52%
16-15
58%
18-13
55%
17-14
61%
19-12
TTL
77%
24-7
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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