SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
27-21-3 | Road
3
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
27-19-8 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 3.93 | 0.875 | -- |
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.93
GAA
--
0.875
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
OILERS
0%
SHARKS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Edmonton
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.0
Push
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u7.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
EDM @ SJ
5 - 2
Mar 17, 2026
SJ @ EDM
3 - 5
Feb 28, 2026
EDM @ SJ
4 - 5
Jan 29, 2026
SJ @ EDM
3 - 4
Apr 16, 2025
EDM @ SJ
3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.5% more
Edmonton: 32.8
vs
San Jose: 28.9
Takeaways (L5)
+11.8% more
Edmonton: 4.4
vs
San Jose: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Edmonton: 50.9%
vs
San Jose: 45.1%
Hits (L5)
+25.5% more
San Jose: 19.4
vs
Edmonton: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
2.0
3
EDM Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 15.3
8.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
50.9 / 45.1
60.3 / 39.7
Hits
14.5 / 19.4
24.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
2088.0 / 2574.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.8 / 28.9
32.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.9
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
SJ
EDM
SJ
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…