HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
8-13 | Road
74
COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
12-9 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
0%
RAIDERS
100%
CRUSADERS
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLG +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
HC By 1-7 points
26.8%
HC By 8-14 points
18.6%
COLG By 1-7 points
23.0%
COLG By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
83
HOLY CROSS
Colgate
81
COLGATE
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
62
HOLY CROSS
Colgate
75
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crusaders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
COLG @ HC
74 - 70
Jan 28, 2026
HC @ COLG
74 - 79
Feb 26, 2025
HC @ COLG
73 - 81
Feb 12, 2025
COLG @ HC
87 - 65
Mar 7, 2024
HC @ COLG
64 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.6%
Holy Cross: 80.8%
vs
Colgate: 66.2%
Blocks (L5)
+72.3% more
Colgate: 3.3
vs
Holy Cross: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+65.8% more
Colgate: 7.3
vs
Holy Cross: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+43.6% more
Colgate: 13.4
vs
Holy Cross: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
83.0
74
COLG Score
81.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 36.4
42.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.4 / 9.3
20.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.3 / 1.9
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 44.3
48.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
66.2 / 80.8
75.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 29.8
37.0 / 28.0
Steals
7.3 / 4.4
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 12.0
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
HC
COLG
HC
ML
59%
19-13
52%
16-15
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
ATS
72%
23-9
55%
17-14
70%
23-10
64%
21-12
TTL
78%
25-7
58%
18-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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