Home / NHL Projections NHL / Rangers @ Islanders NYR @ NYI

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

22-25-6  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

28-19-5  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Urho Vaakanainen
GOALTENDER

Urho Vaakanainen

#18 | Defense
@
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Urho Vaakanainen None-None -- -- --
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
ISLANDERS
0%
RANGERS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

30.9%

Islanders Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

NYR By 1 goal

12.1%

NYR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

NYI By 1 goal

19.7%

NYI By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW YORK
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Islanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 NYI @ NYR 2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026 NYI @ NYR 2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026 NYR @ NYI 2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025 NYR @ NYI 0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025 NYI @ NYR 5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +33.0% more
New York: 5.4 vs New York: 4.0
Power Play % (L5) +7.2%
New York: 21.1% vs New York: 13.9%
Hits (L5) +37.4% more
New York: 26.8 vs New York: 16.8
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.5% more
New York: 14.5 vs New York: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 3.0 2
NYI Score 4.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.1 / 14.5 16.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 57.9 / 56.7 57.4 / 42.6
Hits 16.8 / 26.8 23.0 / 31.0
Power Play % 21.1 / 13.9 40.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 25.5 / 28.3 36.0 / 16.0
Takeaways 5.4 / 4.0 3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
50%MONEY50%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
NYR
NYI
NYR
ML
67% 2-1
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
ATS
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
60% 3-2
100% 2-0-1
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 33 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 33 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 13 hours ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 13 hours ago