COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
35-6-9 | Road
2
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
24-21-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 3.12 | 0.857 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.12
GAA
--
0.857
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
SENATORS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
6.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
OTT By 1 goal
0.9%
OTT By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Ottawa
1
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
Ottawa
5
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
COL @ OTT
2 - 5
Jan 8, 2026
OTT @ COL
2 - 8
Mar 20, 2025
COL @ OTT
5 - 1
Oct 27, 2024
OTT @ COL
4 - 5
Jan 16, 2024
COL @ OTT
7 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.5% more
Colorado: 37.6
vs
Ottawa: 29.9
Hits (L5)
+90.1% more
Ottawa: 27.3
vs
Colorado: 14.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+40.7% more
Ottawa: 15.3
vs
Colorado: 10.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.0%
Ottawa: 56.7%
vs
Colorado: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
5.0
2
OTT Score
1.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 10.9
12.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
56.7 / 47.7
38.0 / 62.0
Hits
27.3 / 14.4
31.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
852.0 / 421.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 37.6
23.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.5
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
COL
OTT
COL
ML
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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