CENTRAL ARKANSAS
BEARSCARK
10-10 | Road
100
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
12-9 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
ROYALS
100%
BEARS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUC +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
CARK By 1-7 points
27.4%
CARK By 8-14 points
21.6%
QUC By 1-7 points
20.1%
QUC By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Arkansas
96
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Queens University
92
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Central Arkansas
72
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Queens University
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
QUC @ CARK
98 - 93
Feb 28, 2026
QUC @ CARK
79 - 84
Jan 28, 2026
CARK @ QUC
100 - 90
Feb 18, 2025
CARK @ QUC
72 - 89
Feb 5, 2025
QUC @ CARK
63 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.7% more
Central Arkansas: 19.5
vs
Queens University: 13.5
Steals (L5)
+26.3% more
Central Arkansas: 8.2
vs
Queens University: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Central Arkansas: 39.2%
vs
Queens University: 31.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Central Arkansas: 49.9%
vs
Queens University: 46.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CARK Score
96.0
100
QUC Score
92.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 39.2
45.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.5 / 19.5
20.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.4 / 1.7
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 49.9
50.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 74.3
71.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 32.7
26.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.0 / 8.2
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 9.1
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CARK
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
QUC
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CARK
Advantage
19-10-3
(65.5%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CARK
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.9
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
CARK
QUC
CARK
ML
71%
25-10
67%
22-11
71%
24-10
70%
23-10
ATS
86%
30-5
61%
20-13
71%
24-10
70%
23-10
TTL
47%
16-18-1
50%
16-16-1
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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