UAB
BLAZERSUAB
12-8 | Road
83
UTSA
ROADRUNNERSUTSA
4-16 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
0%
ROADRUNNERS
100%
BLAZERS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (UAB)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAB -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)
UAB By 1-7 points
8.0%
UAB By 8-14 points
18.6%
UTSA By 1-7 points
1.7%
UTSA By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
84
UAB
UTSA
64
UTSA
Simulated Score
UAB
67
UAB
UTSA
81
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blazers (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
UAB @ UTSA
83 - 73
Jan 21, 2025
UTSA @ UAB
78 - 81
Jan 2, 2024
UAB @ UTSA
78 - 76
Feb 18, 2023
UAB @ UTSA
83 - 78
Dec 31, 2022
UTSA @ UAB
67 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.3% more
UAB: 9.2
vs
UTSA: 6.0
Assists (L5)
+34.1% more
UAB: 13.0
vs
UTSA: 8.6
Rebounding (L5)
+18.5% more
UAB: 40.0
vs
UTSA: 32.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
UAB: 27.0%
vs
UTSA: 22.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
84.0
83
UTSA Score
64.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
22.4 / 27.0
28.0 / 33.0
Assists
8.6 / 13.0
9.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.9 / 3.8
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 39.2
39.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 78.7
82.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 40.0
35.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.0 / 9.2
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 8.5
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
UTSA
5-25-0
(16.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
UTSA
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
UAB
UTSA
UAB
ML
83%
24-5
59%
19-13
48%
14-15
41%
13-19
ATS
72%
21-8
56%
18-14
50%
15-15
41%
13-19
TTL
66%
19-10
69%
22-10
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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