AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEH -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
LEH By 1-7 points
5.8%
LEH By 8-14 points
15.3%
ARMY By 1-7 points
1.1%
ARMY By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
102
LEHIGH
Army
80
ARMY
Simulated Score
Lehigh
67
LEHIGH
Army
76
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Black Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
LEH @ ARMY
64 - 67
Dec 31, 2025
ARMY @ LEH
85 - 78
Mar 1, 2025
LEH @ ARMY
89 - 67
Jan 11, 2025
ARMY @ LEH
74 - 69
Feb 21, 2024
LEH @ ARMY
85 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.4% more
Lehigh: 2.0
vs
Army: 1.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.9%
Lehigh: 87.4%
vs
Army: 73.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Lehigh: 39.4%
vs
Army: 32.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Lehigh: 46.8%
vs
Army: 42.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
102.0
64
ARMY Score
80.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 39.4
38.0 / 37.0
Assists
14.2 / 14.8
20.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.5 / 2.0
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 46.8
41.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 87.4
63.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
29.5 / 31.8
40.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.3
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 11.5
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
LEH
ARMY
LEH
ML
44%
14-18
56%
19-15
50%
16-16
68%
23-11
ATS
44%
14-18
56%
19-15
50%
16-16
68%
23-11
TTL
81%
26-6
76%
26-8
100%
32-0
100%
34-0