Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Explorers @ Rams LAS @ FOR

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

7-13  |  Road

58
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Rose Hill Gym
View Odds Details →

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

10-10  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
EXPLORERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (La Salle)
ExplorersLAS (-3.5) 0 RamsFOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Explorers Cover

81.6%

Rams Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

LAS By 1-7 points

24.3%

LAS By 8-14 points

26.8%

FOR By 1-7 points

12.2%

FOR By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
66
LA SALLE
57
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
67
LA SALLE
71
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Explorers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Explorers (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 FOR @ LAS 84 - 87
Jan 28, 2026 LAS @ FOR 58 - 64
Jan 29, 2025 FOR @ LAS 88 - 72
Jan 6, 2024 LAS @ FOR 81 - 76
Mar 9, 2023 LAS @ FOR 61 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +27.0% more
La Salle: 13.5 vs Fordham: 9.9
Steals (L5) +20.4% more
La Salle: 7.8 vs Fordham: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
La Salle: 71.7% vs Fordham: 66.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
La Salle: 35.7% vs Fordham: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAS Score 66.0 58
FOR Score 57.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 35.7 32.0 / 22.0
Assists 9.9 / 13.5 17.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.7 / 1.6 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 45.9 41.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 66.0 / 71.7 100.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 30.6 39.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.2 / 7.8 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 13.1 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
FOR Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
LAS
FOR
LAS
ML
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
ATS
59% 19-13
78% 25-7
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
TTL
59% 19-13
66% 21-11
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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