IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
6-16 | Road
58
ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
13-9 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
COLONIALS
100%
JAGUARS
--
COLONIALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RMU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)
IUIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
IUIN By 8-14 points
18.6%
RMU By 1-7 points
23.0%
RMU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
92
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Robert Morris
90
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
65
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Robert Morris
78
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonials
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonials (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Colonials (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
IUIN @ RMU
58 - 74
Jan 15, 2026
RMU @ IUIN
93 - 96
Feb 27, 2025
RMU @ IUIN
82 - 68
Jan 30, 2025
IUIN @ RMU
53 - 106
Jan 20, 2024
RMU @ IUIN
80 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.9% more
IU Indianapolis: 2.8
vs
Robert Morris: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+24.4% more
IU Indianapolis: 7.4
vs
Robert Morris: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+16.1% more
IU Indianapolis: 23.2
vs
Robert Morris: 19.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.3%
IU Indianapolis: 72.4%
vs
Robert Morris: 65.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
92.0
58
RMU Score
90.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.8 / 36.9
50.0 / 38.0
Assists
19.5 / 23.2
19.0 / 16.0
Blocks
1.8 / 2.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 50.2
49.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 72.4
88.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 34.0
41.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.4
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 10.5
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
IUIN
RMU
IUIN
ML
36%
12-21
69%
22-10
56%
18-14
78%
25-7
ATS
55%
18-15
66%
21-11
56%
18-14
78%
25-7
TTL
55%
18-15
50%
16-16
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
