MINNESOTA
GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN
10-10 | Road
63
WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
14-6 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
BADGERS
100%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MINN -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)
MINN By 1-7 points
13.7%
MINN By 8-14 points
24.3%
WIS By 1-7 points
4.0%
WIS By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
85
MINNESOTA
Wisconsin
69
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
Minnesota
70
MINNESOTA
Wisconsin
65
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Gophers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Gophers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Gophers (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Golden Gophers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
MINN @ WIS
63 - 67
Jan 13, 2026
WIS @ MINN
78 - 75
Mar 5, 2025
WIS @ MINN
74 - 67
Jan 10, 2025
MINN @ WIS
59 - 80
Jan 23, 2024
WIS @ MINN
61 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+24.9% more
Minnesota: 10.0
vs
Wisconsin: 7.5
Steals (L5)
+16.7% more
Minnesota: 4.9
vs
Wisconsin: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+23.5% more
Wisconsin: 38.1
vs
Minnesota: 30.9
Blocks (L5)
+18.3% more
Wisconsin: 3.0
vs
Minnesota: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MINN Score
85.0
63
WIS Score
69.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 30.6
42.0 / 41.0
Assists
16.4 / 17.4
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.6
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 42.2
40.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 69.6
73.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 30.9
29.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.1 / 4.9
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
7.5 / 10.0
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MINN
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
MINN
WIS
MINN
ML
60%
21-14
48%
16-17
69%
24-11
71%
22-9
ATS
51%
18-17
55%
18-15
69%
24-11
71%
22-9
TTL
57%
20-15
52%
17-16
100%
35-0
100%
31-0
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