WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
12-8 | Road
62
UTAH STATE
AGGIESUSU
16-3 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
AGGIES
100%
COWBOYS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Wyoming)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WYO -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)
WYO By 1-7 points
3.3%
WYO By 8-14 points
10.7%
USU By 1-7 points
0.5%
USU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
91
WYOMING
Utah State
66
UTAH STATE
Simulated Score
Wyoming
75
WYOMING
Utah State
70
UTAH STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (-14.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
USU @ WYO
85 - 83
Jan 28, 2026
WYO @ USU
62 - 94
Feb 4, 2025
USU @ WYO
71 - 67
Dec 4, 2024
WYO @ USU
67 - 70
Feb 14, 2024
USU @ WYO
84 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.5% more
Wyoming: 11.5
vs
Utah State: 9.1
Rebounding (L5)
+13.7% more
Wyoming: 35.9
vs
Utah State: 31.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.1%
Wyoming: 82.5%
vs
Utah State: 72.4%
Steals (L5)
+121.0% more
Utah State: 8.8
vs
Wyoming: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
91.0
62
USU Score
66.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 24.2
38.0 / 25.0
Assists
15.0 / 10.4
28.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.7
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 42.4
55.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 82.5
71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
31.0 / 35.9
36.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.8 / 4.0
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 11.5
5.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
USU
Advantage
29-7-0
(80.6%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
USU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
USU
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USU
WYO
USU
WYO
ML
49%
17-18
52%
17-16
66%
21-11
70%
23-10
ATS
74%
26-9
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
70%
23-10
TTL
51%
18-17
64%
21-12
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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