AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
100%
HOYAS
0%
BLUE DEMONS
--
HOYAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Georgetown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GTWN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)
DEP By 1-7 points
4.8%
DEP By 8-14 points
1.1%
GTWN By 1-7 points
15.3%
GTWN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
DePaul
75
DEPAUL
Georgetown
90
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
DePaul
70
DEPAUL
Georgetown
75
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hoyas
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hoyas
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hoyas (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Hoyas (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
GTWN @ DEP
63 - 56
Jan 28, 2026
DEP @ GTWN
61 - 70
Jan 6, 2026
GTWN @ DEP
50 - 56
Mar 12, 2025
DEP @ GTWN
71 - 67
Mar 8, 2025
GTWN @ DEP
77 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Georgetown: 44.4%
vs
DePaul: 42.5%
Blocks (L5)
+50.9% more
DePaul: 6.0
vs
Georgetown: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+16.7% more
DePaul: 15.1
vs
Georgetown: 12.6
Steals (L5)
+11.8% more
DePaul: 6.3
vs
Georgetown: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEP Score
75.0
61
GTWN Score
90.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 35.1
42.0 / 39.0
Assists
12.6 / 15.1
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 6.0
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 42.5
51.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 72.2
94.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 33.3
30.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.5 / 6.3
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 12.2
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
GTWN
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
GTWN
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
DEP
GTWN
DEP
ML
67%
22-11
59%
19-13
73%
22-8
80%
24-6
ATS
58%
19-14
50%
16-16
73%
22-8
80%
24-6
TTL
58%
19-14
53%
17-15
100%
30-0
100%
30-0