DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

12-8  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 8:30 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

10-10  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
100%
📊
HOYAS
0%
BLUE DEMONS --
HOYAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Georgetown)
Blue DemonsDEP (-3.5) 0 HoyasGTWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Demons Cover

6.7%

Hoyas Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GTWN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)

DEP By 1-7 points

4.8%

DEP By 8-14 points

1.1%

GTWN By 1-7 points

15.3%

GTWN By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
75
DEPAUL
90
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
70
DEPAUL
75
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoyas Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoyas Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoyas (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Hoyas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 GTWN @ DEP 63 - 56
Jan 28, 2026 DEP @ GTWN 61 - 70
Jan 6, 2026 GTWN @ DEP 50 - 56
Mar 12, 2025 DEP @ GTWN 71 - 67
Mar 8, 2025 GTWN @ DEP 77 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Georgetown: 44.4% vs DePaul: 42.5%
Blocks (L5) +50.9% more
DePaul: 6.0 vs Georgetown: 2.9
Assists (L5) +16.7% more
DePaul: 15.1 vs Georgetown: 12.6
Steals (L5) +11.8% more
DePaul: 6.3 vs Georgetown: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEP Score 75.0 61
GTWN Score 90.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 35.1 42.0 / 39.0
Assists 12.6 / 15.1 16.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.9 / 6.0 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 42.5 51.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 72.2 94.0 / 40.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 33.3 30.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.3 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.2 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
GTWN
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4