Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Musketeers @ Pirates XAV @ HALL

XAVIER

MUSKETEERSXAV

11-9  |  Road

68
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 7:30 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

SETON HALL

PIRATESHALL

14-6  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
MUSKETEERS
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
MUSKETEERS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
XAVIER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Xavier)
MusketeersXAV (-3.5) 0 PiratesHALL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Musketeers Cover

98.2%

Pirates Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around XAV -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (XAV)

XAV By 1-7 points

6.8%

XAV By 8-14 points

16.9%

HALL By 1-7 points

1.4%

HALL By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
88
XAVIER
67
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
68
XAVIER
72
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Musketeers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Musketeers (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 HALL @ XAV 77 - 68
Jan 28, 2026 XAV @ HALL 68 - 86
Feb 23, 2025 XAV @ HALL 73 - 66
Dec 31, 2024 HALL @ XAV 72 - 94
Feb 14, 2024 XAV @ HALL 70 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +46.7% more
Xavier: 20.6 vs Seton Hall: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +19.6% more
Xavier: 5.6 vs Seton Hall: 4.5
Free Throw % (L5) +17.9%
Xavier: 80.7% vs Seton Hall: 62.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.8%
Xavier: 41.1% vs Seton Hall: 27.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
XAV Score 88.0 68
HALL Score 67.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.3 / 41.1 38.0 / 29.0
Assists 11.0 / 20.6 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.5 / 5.6 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 38.5 / 48.5 43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 62.8 / 80.7 75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 34.0 44.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.6 / 6.5 14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 10.1 10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
XAV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
HALL Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
XAV
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
HALL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2% Total +/-: +6.0
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
XAV
HALL
XAV
ML
41% 13-19
58% 19-14
60% 18-12
72% 23-9
ATS
50% 16-16
73% 24-9
60% 18-12
72% 23-9
TTL
53% 17-15
39% 13-20
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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