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SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

14-3  |  Road

29
FINAL
Sun, Feb 8 • 6:30 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW ENGLAND

PATRIOTSNE

14-3  |  Home

13
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
PATRIOTS
0%
SEAHAWKS --
PATRIOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NEW ENGLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (New England)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 PatriotsNE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

36.0%

Patriots Cover

64.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NE -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)

SEA By 1-6 points

14.2%

SEA By 7-13 points

11.3%

NE By 1-6 points

16.9%

NE By 7-13 points

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
21
SEATTLE
26
NEW ENGLAND
Simulated Score
20
SEATTLE
24
NEW ENGLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Patriots Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Patriots Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Patriots (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Patriots (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o45.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
D
Sim u45.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 NE @ SEA 10 - 13
Feb 8, 2026 SEA @ NE 29 - 13
Sep 15, 2024 SEA @ NE 23 - 20
Sep 20, 2020 NE @ SEA 30 - 35
Nov 13, 2016 SEA @ NE 31 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +17.4% more
New England: 267.8 vs Seattle: 228.1
Total Yards (L5) +16.1% more
New England: 382.5 vs Seattle: 329.5
First Downs (L5) +15.0% more
New England: 21.0 vs Seattle: 18.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +13.1% more
New England: 114.7 vs Seattle: 101.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 21.0 29
NE Score 26.0 13
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
NE
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
NE Advantage
2-1-1 (66.7%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
NE
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -10.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
SEA
NE
SEA
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2-1
50% 1-1-2
33% 1-2-1
50% 1-1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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