FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
14-6 | Road
95
SOUTH CAROLINA
GAMECOCKSSC
11-9 | Home
48
AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
0%
GAMECOCKS
100%
GATORS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SC +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)
FLA By 1-7 points
26.8%
FLA By 8-14 points
24.3%
SC By 1-7 points
16.9%
SC By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
92
FLORIDA
South Carolina
86
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Florida
72
FLORIDA
South Carolina
76
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 17, 2026
SC @ FLA
62 - 76
Jan 28, 2026
FLA @ SC
95 - 48
Feb 15, 2025
SC @ FLA
67 - 88
Jan 22, 2025
FLA @ SC
70 - 69
Mar 2, 2024
FLA @ SC
76 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.9% more
Florida: 4.9
vs
South Carolina: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+23.3% more
Florida: 43.5
vs
South Carolina: 33.3
Steals (L5)
+23.3% more
Florida: 7.5
vs
South Carolina: 5.8
Assists (L5)
+9.8% more
Florida: 14.6
vs
South Carolina: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
92.0
95
SC Score
86.0
48
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 29.8
15.0 / 43.0
Assists
13.2 / 14.6
4.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.9
1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 43.8
26.0 / 62.0
Free Throw %
83.7 / 65.4
88.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 43.5
24.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.8 / 7.5
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 10.2
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
SC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
SC
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
FLA
SC
FLA
ML
72%
23-9
77%
27-8
68%
21-10
63%
22-13
ATS
69%
22-10
69%
24-11
68%
21-10
63%
22-13
TTL
50%
16-16
63%
22-13
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
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