Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulls @ Green Wave USF @ TULN

SOUTH FLORIDA

BULLSUSF

13-7  |  Road

97
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 9:00 PM ET
Devlin Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

12-8  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
📊
GREEN WAVE
100%
BULLS --
GREEN WAVE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
105.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BullsUSF (-3.5) 0 Green WaveTULN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

38.2%

Green Wave Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TULN +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

USF By 1-7 points

27.2%

USF By 8-14 points

20.1%

TULN By 1-7 points

21.6%

TULN By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
54
SOUTH FLORIDA
51
TULANE
Simulated Score
67
SOUTH FLORIDA
78
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Green Wave Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Green Wave (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Green Wave (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 105.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 TULN @ USF 62 - 90
Jan 28, 2026 USF @ TULN 97 - 83
Jan 11, 2025 USF @ TULN 70 - 73
Mar 5, 2024 TULN @ USF 72 - 85
Feb 18, 2023 TULN @ USF 84 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +45.6% more
South Florida: 17.5 vs Tulane: 9.6
Rebounding (L5) +40.4% more
South Florida: 45.5 vs Tulane: 27.1
Blocks (L5) +13.7% more
South Florida: 4.8 vs Tulane: 4.2
Turnovers (L5) +8.8% more
South Florida: 11.7 vs Tulane: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USF Score 54.0 97
TULN Score 51.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.2 / 34.3 38.0 / 33.0
Assists 9.6 / 17.5 19.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.8 6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 42.7 44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 80.8 / 70.4 67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 27.1 / 45.5 30.0 / 48.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.4 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 11.7 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USF Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
TULN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USF Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +1.0
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
USF
TULN
USF
ML
70% 23-10
61% 20-13
47% 15-17
52% 16-15
ATS
62% 20-12-1
61% 20-13
47% 15-17
52% 16-15
TTL
55% 18-15
52% 17-16
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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