EAST TEXAS A&M
LIONSETAM
8-12 | Road
61
LAMAR
CARDINALSLAM
10-10 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
CARDINALS
100%
LIONS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
LAMAR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAM +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAM)
ETAM By 1-7 points
27.4%
ETAM By 8-14 points
21.6%
LAM By 1-7 points
20.1%
LAM By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
East Texas A&M
76
EAST TEXAS A&M
Lamar
72
LAMAR
Simulated Score
East Texas A&M
71
EAST TEXAS A&M
Lamar
78
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
ETAM @ LAM
61 - 82
Dec 31, 2025
LAM @ ETAM
69 - 62
Feb 15, 2025
LAM @ ETAM
65 - 55
Jan 25, 2025
ETAM @ LAM
58 - 61
Mar 4, 2024
LAM @ ETAM
70 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+81.1% more
Lamar: 4.2
vs
East Texas A&M: 2.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.0%
Lamar: 78.9%
vs
East Texas A&M: 63.9%
Assists (L5)
+13.7% more
Lamar: 17.2
vs
East Texas A&M: 15.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Lamar: 38.7%
vs
East Texas A&M: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score
76.0
61
LAM Score
72.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.7 / 31.4
46.0 / 29.0
Assists
17.2 / 15.1
17.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.3
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 45.9
48.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 63.9
64.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 34.0
49.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.6
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 11.4
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
LAM
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
ETAM
LAM
ETAM
ML
55%
16-13
52%
13-12
59%
17-12
62%
15-9
ATS
52%
15-14
56%
14-11
60%
18-12
62%
15-9
TTL
72%
21-8
68%
17-8
100%
30-0
100%
24-0
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