AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
JAZZ
100%
CLIPPERS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
18.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.8%
UTAH By 1-7 points
6.8%
UTAH By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
122
LA
Utah
109
UTAH
Simulated Score
LA
110
LA
Utah
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
LAC @ UTAH
115 - 103
Jan 1, 2026
UTAH @ LAC
101 - 118
Oct 22, 2025
LAC @ UTAH
108 - 129
Feb 13, 2025
LAC @ UTAH
120 - 116
Feb 8, 2025
UTAH @ LAC
110 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.9% more
LA: 9.9
vs
Utah: 7.7
Rebounding (L5)
+12.5% more
LA: 45.7
vs
Utah: 40.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.8%
LA: 89.1%
vs
Utah: 78.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
LA: 38.8%
vs
Utah: 34.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
122.0
115
UTAH Score
109.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 38.8
36.0 / 39.0
Assists
32.6 / 22.0
28.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.3 / 3.8
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 50.5
45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
78.4 / 89.1
81.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
40.0 / 45.7
40.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.7 / 9.9
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 15.0
17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
LAC
UTAH
LAC
ML
60%
96-63
60%
59-40
48%
40-43
55%
45-37
ATS
68%
108-51
66%
65-33-1
48%
40-43
55%
45-37
TTL
75%
119-39-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0