AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
SUNS
100%
NETS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
23.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
27.2%
PHX By 1-7 points
10.7%
PHX By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
120
BROOKLYN
Phoenix
110
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
109
BROOKLYN
Phoenix
118
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o211.0
Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u211.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
BKN @ PHX
102 - 106
Jan 19, 2026
PHX @ BKN
126 - 117
Oct 12, 2025
BKN @ PHX
111 - 109
Oct 10, 2025
PHX @ BKN
132 - 127
Jan 22, 2025
PHX @ BKN
108 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+8.8% more
Brooklyn: 15.0
vs
Phoenix: 13.7
Assists (L5)
+8.5% more
Brooklyn: 23.2
vs
Phoenix: 21.2
Rebounding (L5)
+15.3% more
Phoenix: 46.0
vs
Brooklyn: 39.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Phoenix: 42.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 39.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
120.0
102
PHX Score
110.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 29.5
25.0 / 41.0
Assists
21.2 / 23.2
22.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.3
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 39.3
56.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
85.1 / 82.3
75.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
46.0 / 39.9
32.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.4
12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 15.0
15.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
BKN
PHX
BKN
ML
57%
60-45
53%
50-45
51%
45-43
59%
48-34
ATS
58%
59-43-3
52%
48-44-3
51%
45-43
59%
48-34
TTL
59%
61-42-2
57%
54-41
100%
88-0
100%
82-0