SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
12-35 | Road
87
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
27-18 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
KNICKS
0%
KINGS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
SAC By 1-7 points
6.8%
SAC By 8-14 points
1.7%
NY By 1-7 points
18.6%
NY By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
115
SACRAMENTO
New York
128
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
New York
118
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+15)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o225.5
Loss
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
SAC @ NY
87 - 103
Jan 14, 2026
NY @ SAC
101 - 112
Mar 10, 2025
NY @ SAC
133 - 104
Jan 25, 2025
SAC @ NY
120 - 143
Apr 4, 2024
SAC @ NY
109 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.4% more
New York: 7.9
vs
Sacramento: 6.2
Rebounding (L5)
+27.3% more
New York: 51.3
vs
Sacramento: 40.3
Turnovers (L5)
+18.3% more
Sacramento: 15.9
vs
New York: 13.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
Sacramento: 77.3%
vs
New York: 66.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
115.0
87
NY Score
128.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 38.9
41.0 / 17.0
Assists
25.7 / 28.3
24.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.0 / 5.0
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 49.9
47.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 77.3
89.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
51.3 / 40.3
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.2
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 15.9
21.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
SAC
NY
SAC
ML
61%
114-72
55%
55-45
56%
57-45
61%
50-32
ATS
67%
124-62
54%
52-45-3
56%
57-45
61%
50-32
TTL
72%
133-53
58%
57-42-1
100%
102-0
100%
82-0
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