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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

27-21-4  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Jan 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

28-20-3  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Mikhail Sergachev
GOALTENDER

Mikhail Sergachev

#98 | Defense
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Mikhail Sergachev None-None -- -- --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
MAMMOTH --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida)
MammothUTA (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

15.9%

Panthers Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

UTA By 1 goal

6.6%

UTA By 2-3 goals

3.7%

FLA By 1 goal

17.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
UTAH
3
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
4
UTAH
2
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Mammoth (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 UTA @ FLA 4 - 3
Dec 10, 2025 FLA @ UTA 4 - 3
Mar 28, 2025 UTA @ FLA 1 - 2
Jan 8, 2025 FLA @ UTA 4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +12.4% more
Florida: 22.6 vs Utah: 20.1
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.8% more
Utah: 11.8 vs Florida: 10.4
Faceoff % (L5) +2.3%
Utah: 52.3% vs Florida: 50.0%
Power Play % (L5) +2.1%
Utah: 17.0% vs Florida: 14.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 1.0 4
FLA Score 3.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 10.4 / 11.8 7.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 50.0 / 52.3 41.7 / 58.3
Hits 22.6 / 20.1 31.0 / 16.0
Power Play % 1481.0 / 1695.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.6 / 28.8 28.0 / 20.0
Takeaways 5.0 / 4.6 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
68%MONEY32%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
UTA
FLA
UTA
ML
0% 0-4
60% 3-2
0% 0-4
60% 3-2
ATS
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
0% 0-4
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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